Weather in Guatemala: the rains will continue in the next 2 days and it is expected that they will increase over the weekend

The rains in the country will continue for at least 48 hours and although they are expected to decrease during the rest of the week, they could increase again this weekend, according to the National Institute of Seismology, Volcanology, Meteorology and Hydrology (Insivumeh).

César George, from Insivumeh, participated in the weekly conference of public officials at the National Palace of Culture and commented that the Celia depression is already located to the south, offshore, in the Tehuantepec peninsula and no longer represents any danger to the National territory.

He added that, despite this, unstable conditions remain in the country and they foresee that for this Monday the 20th the passage of a wave from the East, a normal migratory system of the rainy season that they forecast could begin to generate some rains in the afternoon hours and night.

He said that it is very important to take into account these rains that are forecast for Monday and Tuesday and asked to be very careful with them and pointed out that from Wednesday to Friday a significant decrease in rain could be noticed.

soil saturation

“It is good to take into account that although we foresee a decrease in rains for this week, we have completely saturated soils, so even if the rains are minimal, they can continue to cause us some problems, again we would have to be careful for the weekend since we are monitoring a low pressure system that, if it does not change its trajectory, is approaching the Caribbean part of Guatemala,” George commented.

He said that the decrease in rainfall is expected mainly in the central plateau and northern regions and that the South Coast continues with unstable conditions.

Also read: Landslide affects the passage at km 46 of the Inter-American highway

George added that the rain this year is similar to what has occurred in 2011, 2012 and 2017 and that they give a lot of weight to the Niño 3,4 region and that the country is still under the influence of the La Niña phenomenon and the high temperatures in the North Atlantic.

He said that this La Niña phenomenon is well developed and they anticipate that it will be in the country at least until July.

He also mentioned that in the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico temperatures are high, at least 0.5 to 1 degree difference in temperature from the Pacific and the Atlantic and are those that are favoring significant rainfall in the national territory.

This is why there will be significant rains for the entire Pacific part of Central America, especially Guatemala, and the prospect is that they will last until July.

Also read: Landslides, crashes and other incidents complicate traffic in the metropolitan area

the rain is that we inform you of the month of May the map on the right side reflects in soft green and strong green in the places where it rained the most in the month of May please.

It already rained more than necessary

George said that the entire part of Boca Costa South, West, East and Center of the country has already rained what should normally rain in June and this is because there are still 10 days left before the end of the month.

The expert said that what should normally rain in the first 3 months of rain (May, June and July) already rained in May and 19 days in June.

He pointed out that in the East, center and South region, and in almost the entire country, it has rained what normally should rain in the 3 months.

INTERACTIVE | Broken connectivity: The places in Guatemala that not even the roads reach

“The conditions tend to change for this week, we expect less rain; however, it is good to observe the places where we have the greatest accumulation of rain, that is, it means that the soils are quite saturated and this is quite dangerous. Although the rains may decrease this week, we are still expecting rains for what is this month of June.

the dog days

According to George, it is expected that the heat wave will be installed from July 10 to 20, which represents a slight decrease in rainfall, since we do not expect it to be prolonged, as it could be interrupted by rainy periods at least every 3 or 5 days. .

“It is also important to take into account that these conditions that we have right now of completely humid soils and abundant solar radiation are those that favor severe local storms in the afternoon hours, especially in high places.”

The expert was consulted about what precautions should be taken when the rains and landslides that could occur and pointed out that the place where people live must be constantly checked and if they begin to present any changes, it is better to go to a shelter before an incident occurs.

“We are extremely concerned about everything that is the Northern Transversal Strip, central plateau, Chiquimula, Zacapa, Jalapa and El Progreso, where there have been greater accumulations of rain. The rains may decrease, but any drop can spill the camel’s back and still have problems,” said George.

When asked about soil saturation, George said that most of the country is completely saturated, except for the northern part of Petén.

“Right now most of the country is vulnerable, so the rains have been widespread and this, in a certain way, is what has favored the fact that most of the rivers in the country have them above their normal level,” he concluded.

Also read: The collapse of several highways causes no less than three impacts on national and export trade

rain damage

Rodolfo García, spokesman for the National Coordinator for Disaster Reduction (Conred), presented at the press conference the Report on the current situation of the 2022 Rainy Season throughout the country.

He commented that so far 539 incidents have been generated from April to June 2022.

He noted that June is the month that has had the most incidents since there have been 350, among which are structural collapses, landslides, landslides, strong winds, floods, cracks in the ground, subsidence, and undermining.

These incidents have affected 736 thousand 478 people, 971 are at risk, 10 deceased (in June), 2 thousand 452 evacuated, 529 sheltered and self-sheltered, 1 thousand 680.

In June there have been 82 roads damaged, two destroyed, six vehicular bridges destroyed, 8 hammocks destroyed and 4 vehicular bridges affected.

Garcia said that in the last 72 hours there have been 72 incidents throughout the country, most of them in Chiquimula, Guatemala, Jalapa and Zacapa.

General data

According to Conred, as of June 19, 2022, 539 incidents had been recorded in the 2022 rainy season.

The death of 21 people is reported in the departments distributed as follows:

  • 8 in Alta Verapaz
  • 5 in Escuintla
  • 3rd Huehuetenango
  • 2 in Guatemala
  • 1 in Chiquimula
  • 1 in Zacapa
  • 1 in Jutiapa

It is also reported that there are 3 people missing and seven injured.

Statistics reveal that there are 1,703 people at risk, 999,604 affected, 1,722 affected, 4,154 evacuated, 8,323 assisted, and 579 sheltered.

There are 535 homes at risk, 334 damaged, 1,211 with moderate damage and 177 with severe damage.

Also reported 121 affected schools, 129 roads affected, 4 roads destroyed.

Areas where it will rain the most

According to a Conred map, the areas where more rain could be recorded between June 19 and 22 are:

very high probability: San Marcos, Guatemala, Quetzaltenango, Chiquimula, Sololá, Alta Verapaz, Chimaltenango, Baja Verapaz, Sacatepéquez, Quiché, Huehuetenango and El Progreso.

High probability: Retalhuleu, Totonicapan, Suchitepequez and Zacapa

Medium probability: Jalapa, Santa Rosa, Escuintla, Peten and Jutiapa

Low probability: Izabal

Rainy Season Comparison

According to Conred, so far in June has been the period in which the rain has caused the most damage in the country.

The graph shows the number of incidents that have occurred between April and June 2022.

The events recorded in April are shown in blue, May is green, June is yellow, and the total is orange.

Leave a Comment