Morena and the PAN-PRI-PRD alliance, with a tie in Coahuila

While Morena and her allies lead the preferences for the 2023 elections for governor in the State of Mexico, in Coahuila they are in a statistical tie with the PAN-PRI-PRD alliance, according to El Financiero surveys carried out in both entities. federative.

Both in the State of Mexico and in Coahuila, Morena captures 46 percent of voting intention in the next elections of 2023. This represents 8 points above the PAN-PRI-PRD alliance in the first state, but just 2 points above in Coahuila, where Va por México captures 44 percent: a statistical tie.

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In the particular case of Coahuila, the most popular political figures, according to El Financiero, they are the PRI Manolo Jiménez and the PAN member Guillermo Anaya. The PRI has 37 percent positive opinion and 69 percent knowledge, while the PAN has 36 percent positive opinions and 78 percent knowledge.

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A) Yes, Jiménez leads the preferences to be a candidate of the alliancewith 22 percent support among the general population and 38 percent among supporters of the PAN, PRI, and PRD.

On the Morena side, Armando Guadiana Tijerina captures 33 percent of favorable opinion and 78 percent of knowledgeheading the preferences to be the candidate, with 25 percent of mentions among the general population and 45 percent among the morenistas.

A hypothetical confrontation, derived from these data, shows that Manolo Jiménez and Armando Guadiana are in a statistical tiewith 42 and 43 percent of support, respectively, while some candidate of the Citizen Movement, still unnamed, captures only 10 percent.

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And if the confrontation is between Manolo Jiménez and Ricardo Mejía Berdeja, the PRI has 44 percent support against 41 percent for the morenista, while if the candidate were Jericó Abramo against Mejía Berdeja, the first obtains 38 percent and the second 42 percent support.

It should be noted that the survey was conducted by telephone with 600 adults from June 13 to 16, 2022. A probabilistic sampling of residential and cell phones was carried out. With a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error of the estimates of +/- 4.0 percent.

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