Juan Ignacio Schwerdt / [email protected]
When at the beginning of June the law that modified the Electoral Calendar 2021 and postponed for a period of one month all the dates contemplated in the norm, few – perhaps no one – could imagine what would be the scenario in which the three elections would take place. months later.
At that time, Covid-19 infections in Bahia and the area fluctuated between 3,000 and 3,500 per week, deaths were around 60, and 3 out of 4 intensive care beds were occupied. To make matters worse, the fearsome Delta variant appeared on the horizon. The outlook was bleak, to the point that many wondered if a new postponement of the electoral calendar should not be analyzed to avoid exposing millions of people to the disease.
Fortunately, the epidemiological situation has only improved from then until today, which is why the inhabitants of the area will vote tomorrow in the best health context of the last six months.
In Bahía Blanca and the other 14 districts of the region, fewer than 600 cases were registered in the last seven days. They were 593, the lowest mark in the last 24 weeks.
Deaths, meanwhile, were 12. To find a lower figure we must go back to the week of March 25 to 31, when 10 were counted in the area of Health Region I.
The third relevant piece of information comes from the intensive care rooms of the Bahía Blanca hospitals, the referral center for all critical cases in a wide area. This week these rooms registered the lowest occupancy percentage since mid-May: 37.04%. Out of 81 total beds, 30 were occupied and 51 were available.
On Thursday 9, in addition, another very auspicious circumstance occurred: out of 37 occupied beds in the Bahian hospitals, only 6 corresponded to patients infected with Covid-19. In the remaining 31 there were people with other pathologies, accidents or individuals who go through a postoperative.
No deaths in 11 districts
Only 4 of the 15 districts that make up Health Region I registered deaths from Covid-19 in the last week, a situation that had not occurred since the beginning of April. They are Bahía Blanca (6 fatalities), Coronel Suárez (4), Tres Arroyos (1) and Puan (1).
Among the remaining 11 there are several aspects to highlight.
For example, Adolfo Alsina has already been 8 weeks without registering the death of a neighbor by coronavirus; Coronel Rosales and Guaminí, 5 weeks; Adolfo Gonzales Chaves, 4 weeks; and Patagones, 2 weeks.
Other districts have not had this level of continuity, but their situation is also remarkable. For example, Villarino has had two deaths in the last 7 weeks; Colonel Pringles, three in the last month; Tornquist, two in a month; Colonel Dorrego, one in six weeks; and Monte Hermoso, two in 9 weeks.
In the last two weeks, 32 deaths from Covid-19 were registered in the area, which averages just over 2 per day. In the previous fortnight the deaths had been 55 (4 daily). The number of fatalities was 23; that is, 41.8%.
The district that drove this decline was Bahía Blanca, which went from 29 to 11 fatalities between the past fortnight and the current one. In this case, the decrease was 61.1%.
Almost all in low
In terms of infections, the downward trend was observed in almost all districts of the area during the last two weeks. Of the 15 districts, 13 had fewer cases between the past fortnight and the current one.
The only exceptions were Saavedra and Puan. The first had the same number of cases between one fortnight and the next (91), while the second jumped from 83 to 84.
In the rest of the parties, the decrease in infections fluctuated between 25% and 81.8%. This last fall – the most pronounced – occurred in Coronel Dorrego, which fell from 22 to 4 cases between the past fortnight and the current one.
Patagones, meanwhile, fell from 103 to 28 infections (-72.8%); Adolfo Alsina, from 31 to 9 (-71%); Guaminí, from 31 to 10 (-67.7%); and Villarino, from 47 to 18 (-61.7%), among the main ones.
September started with the lowest number of daily infections in the last 12 months. The lowest record so far had been that of March (93 per day); In the first 8 days of this month that figure dropped to 85.
In absolute values, the most pronounced fall in infections occurred in Bahia, which went from 1,133 infections (81 per day, on average) to 676 (48). In this case, the decrease was 40.3%.
In second place was Coronel Suárez, who fell from 364 to 232 cases between the last fortnight and the current one. In this case, the fall was 36.3%.
In the 15 districts there were 1,321 infections during the last two weeks, which yields a daily average of 94. In the previous two weeks that figure had been 2,205 (158 per day). The decrease was 40.1%.
September, also the month of the second doses?
September started even better than August in terms of the application of second doses of the Covid-19 vaccine in the area.
In the first 8 days of the month, 41,296 second doses were applied in the 15 districts of Health Region I, giving an average of 5,175 per day. In August the average had been 4,258 every 24 hours.
Thanks to this, during this week it was possible to exceed 300 thousand second doses administered.
In contrast, the application of first doses continues to decline. In July, 4,402 per day had been applied, on average, a figure that fell to 1,258 in August. So far in September the average is 724.
The pandemic has already caused 94,140 infections in Bahía Blanca and the other 14 districts of the region, as well as 2,125 deaths. The fatality rate is 2.26%.
To date, 465,671 first doses have been applied, a figure that represents 68.5% of the total estimated population of the region (just over 680 thousand people).
The second doses administered, meanwhile, are 302,096. This indicates that 44.4% of the citizens of the region already have the complete scheme.
The district that has vaccinated the most is Coronel Dorrego. With the first component of the vaccine, it has already reached 75.1% of its population and, with the second, no less than 62.4%.
More than 50% of its population with second doses is an achievement that has also been completed by Puan, Tornquist, Adolfo Alsina, Monte Hermoso, Coronel Pringles and Tres Arroyos.